Time Series Analysis of Wind Speed Using VAR and the Generalized Impulse Response Technique

This research examines the interdependence in time series wind speed data measured in the same location at four different heights. A multiple-equation system known as a vector autoregression is proposed for characterizing the time series dynamics of wind. Additionally, the recently developed method of generalized impulse response analysis provides insight into the cross-effects of the wind series and their responses to shocks. Findings are based on analysis of contemporaneous wind speed time histories taken at 13, 33, 70 and 160 feet above ground level with a sampling rate of 10 Hz. The results indicate that wind speeds measured at 70 feet was the most variable. Further, the turbulence persisted longer at the 70 foot measurement than at the other heights. The greatest interdependence is observed at 13 feet. Gusts at 160 feet led to the greatest persistence to an “own” shock and led to greatest persistence in the responses of the other wind series. Time Series Analysis of Wind Speed Using VAR and the Generalized Impulse Response Technique